The Falcons Are Locks, Caleb Williams Is Out, and Jaxson Dart Is Cut

Drake London caught two passes in Week 1 and four in Week 2, both with Cooper Rush throwing him five targets a game. Thursday night at Green Bay, Michael Penix Jr. took the job instead, and London caught nine of ten targets for 194 yards. Same receiver, same team, different arm under center. That's the through-line this week: three quarterback situations moved, and the fantasy numbers around them moved with them.

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Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta: start him, full confidence. Twenty-nine carries for 194 yards and two touchdowns Thursday were the loud part, but his floor was never the question. He caught eight of ten targets in Week 1 with Rush throwing him the ball. The one quiet week, 16 carries for 72 yards against Carolina, landed in Rush's second start, right before Atlanta turned the offense over to Penix. Whatever happens to the passing game, Bijan's workload is the given.

Drake London, WR, Atlanta: start him, and expect the target share to hold. Rush's two starts combined for 229 passing yards and four interceptions, and London still saw five targets in each one. Penix threw 25 passes Thursday and sent ten of them London's way, a share that survives most weeks. Rush is now Atlanta's emergency third quarterback, so the version of London we saw Thursday is the one to plan around.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seattle: start him at Washington. Eleven targets in each of his first two games, 17 catches, 277 yards, four touchdowns. The touchdown rate cools off; nobody catches three scores in an afternoon every week. The target count is the part that repeats, and it doesn't depend on who throws it, which matters because Sam Darnold, not Drew Lock, starts at Washington. Darnold practiced in full all week, and coach Mike Macdonald confirmed Friday he's ready to go.

Kenneth Walker III, RB, Kansas City: start him at Miami. Forty-seven carries for 290 yards across two games, and the number that matters most is the six catches on ten targets in Week 2. A back who gets 24 carries and ten looks in the same game has a floor that doesn't need a touchdown, which is exactly how he scored 20.8 against Indianapolis without one. Nothing on this week's injury report touches him.

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David Montgomery, RB, Houston: sit him at Indianapolis if you have an alternative. Week 1 looked like a workhorse game only because of two short touchdown runs; 20 carries for 60 yards is three yards a carry. Week 2 was six carries for 10 yards while Houston scored six total points against Cincinnati. He's playing close to half the offensive snaps both weeks, and half of an offense that isn't scoring is a bad bet. The flip: Houston scores early, stays ahead, and the carries come back.

Ashton Jeanty, RB, Las Vegas: keep starting him, with a lower bar this week. Twenty-one carries for 48 yards and a long of nine at the Chargers was ugly, a big drop from the 29.7 points he put up against Miami. But the touches barely moved, 23 carries down to 21, and he still drew seven targets and caught four. Las Vegas won that game 26-14 anyway. That volume travels to New Orleans. The flip: another week of two-yard carries, and the workload stops being enough on its own.

Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago: he's not playing, so plan around it now. Chicago's final Saturday report ruled him out for Monday night against Philadelphia, the hamstring strain that knocked him out of the Minnesota loss. Backup Tyson Bagent is questionable, still working through concussion protocol after a full Saturday practice, and hasn't been cleared. That leaves Case Keenum, healthy and off the injury report, as Chicago's starter unless something changes before kickoff. The flip: Bagent clears protocol and wins the job away from Keenum, which as of Saturday hadn't happened.

The drop: Jaxson Dart

In redraft leagues, drop him. Dart looked like a real weekly starter in Week 1: 23 of 29 for 230 yards and three touchdowns, plus 54 rushing yards, good for 26.6 points in a win over Dallas. He lasted seven offensive snaps in Week 2 before a left knee injury ended his day, and the damage was serious: MCL, PCL, and meniscus all hurt. The Giants placed him on injured reserve Thursday, and he had knee surgery Friday. Coach John Harbaugh has said a playoff return is possible if the Giants get there, but the NFL postseason is outside the fantasy season, so that does nothing for your roster this year.

Jameis Winston takes the job now: 11 of 27 for 111 yards and an interception in relief, 3.54 points. The change shows up around him too. Tight end Isaiah Likely put up 23.8 points in Week 1 with Dart at quarterback and 5.8 once Dart was hurt early in Week 2. Temper expectations there against Tennessee.

In dynasty, hold him. His ACL came through intact, he's a second-year quarterback, and the timeline points to a return well before next season. Stash him on IR if your league has the slot.

The quarterback moves are the story. Atlanta's lifted Bijan and London, Seattle's swapped the name under center without touching Smith-Njigba's targets, and Chicago's knocked its starter out before the weekend started. Start the volume, sit the offenses that can't score, and give the open roster spot to someone other than Dart.

ZeroChalk. Fade the chalk. Informational only, not betting advice. Injury statuses confirmed through Saturday, September 26; recheck Sunday's inactive list before you lock your lineup.