The Irving and Godwin overs haven't paid in five straight.

Bucky Irving under 17.5 receiving yards and Chris Godwin Jr. under 39.5 both arrive with five straight unders. Patrick Mahomes over 223.5 passing yards has paid in four of five, which puts these plays atop the card and gives you a tidy excuse to ignore your family before lunch.

Bucky Irving (RB, TB): under 17.5 receiving yards

FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan) -114 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

His last five verified receiving totals are 4, 3, 10, 0, and 12 yards, so all five finished under 17.5. The sample averages 5.8 yards.

We believe the under is the clean read; paying for a breakout here is how your group chat finds its next punching bag.

Chris Godwin Jr. (WR, TB): under 39.5 receiving yards

FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan) -114 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Godwin's last five receiving totals are 27, 37, 37, 31, and 25 yards, with all five falling under 39.5. His average across those games is 31.4 yards.

We believe the line asks for more than his recent work has delivered, and your optimism doesn't count as yardage.

Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC): over 223.5 passing yards

DraftKings -113 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Mahomes has thrown for 165, 272, 225, 246, and 382 yards in his last five verified games. Four of those totals beat 223.5, and the sample averages 258 yards.

We believe the over has room, and for once a Mahomes ticket doesn't require a graduate thesis written on a bar napkin.

Rachaad White (RB, WAS): under 44.5 rushing yards

FanDuel -114 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

White's last five rushing totals are 27, 18, 35, 43, and 22 yards. All five stayed under 44.5, with an average of 29 yards.

We believe the under fits the work we've seen; don't let the shiny button sweet-talk you into doing something stupid.

Tony Pollard (RB, TEN): over 15.5 rushing attempts

Bet365 price not provided - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Pollard has logged 25, 19, 14, 16, and 17 rushing attempts across his last five verified games. Four finished over 15.5, and his average is 18.2 attempts.

We expect the workload to stay on the right side, though we'd want the missing price before getting too horny about it.

Tyler Higbee (TE, LAR): over 3.5 receptions

BetMGM -105 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Higbee's last five reception totals are 2, 4, 5, 5, and 8. Four beat 3.5, while the full sample averages 4.8 receptions.

We believe the over is supported by the recent volume, which is boring in the useful way.

Javonte Williams (RB, DAL): over 1.5 receptions

FanDuel -178 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Williams has caught 0, 2, 2, 5, and 2 passes in his last five verified games. Four of those results beat 1.5, and his average is 2.2 receptions.

The price is fat, but we believe the usage still points over; it's a prop, not your prom date, so don't fall in love.

Bo Nix (QB, DEN): under 16.5 rushing yards

DraftKings -110 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Nix has rushed for 73, 2, 10, 10, and 7 yards in his last five verified games, with four finishing under 16.5.

We believe the under is the better read because one eruption doesn't erase four low games.

Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, DET): over 86.5 rushing yards

BetMGM -115 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Gibbs's last five rushing totals are 116, 151, 46, 99, and 52 yards. Three beat 86.5, and his average across the sample is 92.8 yards.

We believe the over has enough support, though this line leaves less breathing room than your jeans after wings and six beers.

Kenneth Walker III (RB, KC): over 87.5 rushing yards

BetRivers -114 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Walker has rushed for 36, 128, 177, 70, and 117 yards in his last five verified games. Three cleared 87.5, producing an average of 105.6 yards. We're treating the 177 as the high end rather than forecasting a repeat.

We believe the over still stands without asking the outlier to carry the whole damn argument.

Derrick Henry (RB, BAL): under 80.5 rushing yards

DraftKings -113 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Henry's last five rushing totals are 45, 58, 102, 73, and 89 yards. Three landed under 80.5, and the sample averages 73.4 yards.

We believe the under fits the recent numbers, even if clicking it beside Henry's name feels like farting in a cathedral.

Justin Herbert (QB, LAC): under 19.5 completions

DraftKings -126 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Herbert has completed 22, 14, 19, 20, and 15 passes in his last five verified games. Three totals fell under 19.5, with an average of 18 completions.

We believe the under is the better read; this ticket won't make you look brave, which is usually how money survives.

Joe Burrow (QB, CIN): over 272.5 passing yards

Bet365 -116 - checked Saturday, time unavailable

Burrow's last five passing totals are 292, 190, 428, 282, and 207 yards. Three beat 272.5, and the sample averages 279.8 yards. We're treating the 428 as the ceiling, while 292 and 282 still support the call.

We believe the over is playable on the verified results, without pretending every Sunday ends with Burrow launching footballs until his arm files a grievance.

Trey McBride (TE, ARI): over 7.5 receptions

BetMGM price not provided - checked Saturday, time unavailable

McBride has recorded 10, 7, 9, 7, and 9 receptions in his last five verified games. Three finished over 7.5, and his average is 8.4 receptions.

We believe the volume points over, but the missing price needs to show its face before anybody starts pounding buttons.

ZeroChalk is not affiliated with the NFL, NFL teams, or the NFLPA. Injury and role calls are best-guess reads from public practice and camp reporting, not inside information.